Wednesday, March 08, 2006

 

Updated Straw Poll Numbers

I won't bother you by actually posting all the numbers, just these:

Mike Hatch: 9778
Steve Kelley: 5627
Becky Lourey: 5654
Undecided: 2495

So....with 85% reporting, exactly 27 votes out of more than 25,000 separate the Senators. Since the straw poll does not incorporate data on who will actually be headed to their Senate District/County conventions, we don't know who among these will become delegates and award the endorsement - but I have to wonder if a Kelley/Lourey ticket would attract some of those 2500 or so Undecided votes, turning a split race into a blowout victory for progressives. Perhaps this is a proposal my contentious colleagues on the Lourey camp could agree to, at least as a second choice? Remember that the latest Rasmussen poll has Kelley dead even with Pawlenty - Lourey as an Lt-Gov candidate WOULD help that number upward.

[Update]: Woah. Blogger's html table support is not what I would call good. Anyway....

Comments:
----------------------------------------------
Blogger mike said:
I have a comment but I doubt you want to hear it so I'll keep it to myself.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger Mike S said:
I'd consider that with Kelley for Lt. Gov. so that he can't sign any bill giving my tax money to Carl Pohlad. Keep in mind polls this far out are meaningless and this one didn't include a Green, IP, or Lib party candidate that will be on the general election ballot.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger Joseph Barisonzi said:
The actual numbers at 85% were:

Hatch: 9627 (38.82%)
Lourey: 5622 (22.67%)
Kelly: 5411 (21.82%)
Undecided/Other: 2454 (9.9%)
Doran: 1603 (6.46%)

The difference between 2nd and 3rd was actually 211 votes, not 27. Doesn’t change the basic analysis, but facts do matter.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger GOPnightmare said:
Steve Kelley has the PR support of many blogs, offices all over the state, and almost one year into this. You guys remember all of the stuff you said about how great he is and how his money and staff were what was needed to win? Well, it got him third place. Now you suggest that Lourey, the last one to get in yet squeeked past Mr MNCampReport should run as his Lt? Not that I care, but were you the one asking John Edwards to run as Kucinich's VP?
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger MN Campaign Report said:
The numbers currently published on dflers.org tell a different story, Mr. Barisonzi - only for accuracy's sake. But we are in agreement that the basic analysis is sound. I'm glad my first interaction with Ms. Lourey's campaign is one of general agreement ;)
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger MN Campaign Report said:
And no, I wasn't that person. Whoever that was was a bit nuts, frankly. I say that because of history - Becky Lourey ran in 2002, and has attracted statewide attention with the anti-war movement because of her family involvement, her staunch anti-war stance, and her presence at Camp Casey in Texas.

And she's still getting only 22%.

Steve Kelley is getting the same percentage when his last flirtation with a statewide campaign was two years further back, and he's still not well-known in some rural and suburban areas around the state. Momentum still points his way.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger daw said:
I'm just wondering, seriously, why it is that blogs that claim to be "progressive" would consider backing a candidate that is a "new democrat" - DLC member - DINO - Republican.

Shouldn't the DFL be looking for a good DEMOCRAT instead of a Republican is sheeps clothing (yes, I meant sheep. Democrats have been cowards for far to long now).
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger MN Campaign Report said:
One who does not educate themselves regarding the candidates, their platforms, their conduct in public life until the present, and their path forward does not deserve to be responded to in this context. I hope your counterparts in this space understand how wrong you are in your "analysis".

Perhaps I'll respond in a future post, but my question for you right now is the same one I've had for several far-left colleagues - what will happen when your candidate loses? Will you go home and pout, or recognize that a Democrat, even if that Democrat is not as liberal as you would like, would be better than Pawlenty, and get behind them 100%?
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger stp_283 said:
Becky Lourey is a fine candidate, and true very little seperate her from Steve Kelley, except as pointed out, their voting records. However, I disagree in which office she is running for - she is placed perfectly to deal with federal issues, and wanting to be Minnesota's voice to America is a great place for her to work her magic. I do not feel right voting for her for governor because it does not seem like it fits for her. That's really all. As was mentioned, is Lourey did run as LT. Gov, (where she would do an outstanding job), it would be a perfect position for he to be in as she announces her run for 2008 senate. Any thoughts?
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger MN Campaign Report said:
I think that's a shrewd piece of analysis - I wouldn't mind that scenario one bit :) But then, I'm biased. My only point of contention is the difference being their voting records - though I haven't reviewed their complete mutual record, my impression from the information I have seen is that they are very, very similar. As I've said before, it's how one goes about their policies and platforms that makes a huge difference in this race.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger Mike S said:
If you are going to give credit to Lourey for anti-war organizing, then give credit to Kelley's campaign for the unofficial support of many in education MN. His role as education chair has pulled support and given him just as big a bully pulpit to speak to potential delegates for the past few years. And unlike Lourey, who isn't talking about the war that I've seen or using it to build her campaign, Kelley is using his chairmanship to build his.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger MN Campaign Report said:
Fair point, Mike S, but I think STP_283's point still stands - Lourey's anti-war action plays well at the national/federal level, while Kelley's education experience plays much better for state-level policy-making.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger Mike S said:
You are misinterpreting me. Lourey has not and is not running as an anti-war candidate, is she anti-war, yes, might that attract some votes to her, yes. But she isn't running on that any more than she is on what her favorite color. If you continue to pigeon hole her as just anti-war you are refusing to accept that she is a public policy giant in out state around the most important issue to voters, health care; and others.
 
----------------------------------------------
Blogger MN Campaign Report said:
Woah, you're misrepresenting me right back. I didn't mean to imply that she's running as an anti-war candidate, I meant that most people outside the politically-engaged, the bloggers, and the party activists, know her either for having run for governor in 2002 or for her anti-war actions, whether they're part of her platform or not.
 
Post a Comment

<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

Google
Web
MNCR